Argentina has overtaken England in the prediction market odds for winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to Kalshi. As the tournament reaches its semi-final stage, Argentina’s market-implied probability of victory has increased, suggesting that participants view the team as a stronger contender than England. This shift comes as Argentina and England prepare to face off in the second semi-final, with England slightly favored to win the match on the moneyline. Previously, Argentina’s chances of winning the tournament were estimated at 9%, while England had a 12.5% implied probability.
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